Poisson Probability Formula:
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Definition: Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space.
Purpose: It's used to model rare events that occur independently with a known constant mean rate, such as call arrivals, radioactive decay, or traffic accidents.
The calculator uses the formula:
Where:
Explanation: The formula calculates the probability of observing exactly x events when the average rate is λ.
Details: Commonly used in queuing theory, reliability analysis, and other fields where you need to predict the probability of rare events.
Tips: Enter the mean rate (λ) and the number of events (x) you want to calculate the probability for. Both must be ≥ 0.
Q1: What's a typical value for λ?
A: λ can be any non-negative number. Small values (λ < 1) indicate rare events, while larger values indicate more frequent events.
Q2: What's the relationship between Poisson and Binomial distributions?
A: Poisson approximates Binomial when number of trials is large and probability is small.
Q3: When is Poisson distribution appropriate?
A: When events are independent, occur at a constant rate, and the probability of more than one event in a small interval is negligible.
Q4: What does P(x) represent?
A: The probability of observing exactly x events in the given interval.
Q5: How accurate is this calculator?
A: It provides exact Poisson probabilities up to floating-point precision limits.