Fold Equity Formula:
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Definition: Fold equity is the additional equity a player gains from the probability that their opponent will fold to a bet or raise.
Purpose: It helps poker players make mathematically sound decisions about when to bluff or semi-bluff by quantifying the value gained from potential opponent folds.
The calculator uses the formula:
Where:
Explanation: The formula calculates the ratio of potential gain from folds versus potential losses from calls, weighted by their respective probabilities.
Details: Understanding fold equity helps players determine whether a bluff has positive expected value, optimize bet sizing, and make better decisions in marginal situations.
Tips: Enter the probability of your opponent folding (0-1), the equity you gain if they fold ($), the probability they call (0-1), and your potential loss if they call ($).
Q1: How do I estimate my opponent's fold probability?
A: Study your opponent's tendencies - tight players fold more often. Track their fold-to-bet percentages if possible.
Q2: What's considered good fold equity?
A: Generally, FE > 0.5 indicates a profitable bluff, but this depends on pot odds and other factors.
Q3: How does position affect fold equity?
A: Being in later position typically increases fold equity as you have more information about opponents' actions.
Q4: Should I always bluff when fold equity is high?
A: Not necessarily - consider your table image, stack sizes, and tournament implications.
Q5: How does bet size affect fold equity?
A: Larger bets generally increase fold equity but decrease potential profitability if called - finding the right balance is key.