Fold Equity Formula:
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Definition: This calculator determines the fold equity (FE) in poker, which measures the profitability of an all-in bet (shove) considering the chance your opponent will fold.
Purpose: It helps poker players make mathematically sound decisions when considering an all-in move, especially in tournament situations.
The calculator uses the formula:
Where:
Explanation: The formula compares the potential gain from a successful bluff (numerator) against the total possible outcomes (denominator).
Details: Understanding fold equity helps players:
Tips:
Q1: What's a good fold equity value?
A: Generally, FE > 0.5 indicates a profitable shove. The higher the better.
Q2: How do I estimate folding probability?
A: Based on opponent stats (VPIP/PFR), stack sizes, and previous actions.
Q3: Should I always shove when FE > 0.5?
A: Not necessarily - consider ICM implications in tournaments.
Q4: How does position affect fold equity?
A: Late position typically has higher fold equity as you've seen more actions.
Q5: What if my opponent might raise instead of call/fold?
A: This simplified model assumes only call/fold options exist.